# Blind boxes or a confirmed figure?

https://thedollscout.com/collecting/budget
Content updated: 2026-10-02

Set a spending limit and compare independent boxes with an all-in quote for the exact figure you want.

Example values are hypothetical, not brand odds or current prices.

Use one currency throughout. Amounts are rounded to two decimals. Include applicable costs yourself; this is not a tax or currency-conversion tool.

For n affordable independent boxes and target probability p, the chance of a target is 1 − (1 − p)^n. When stopping at the first target, expected boxes used are [1 − (1 − p)^n] / p. At p = 0, all n boxes are used. A lower average spend does not mean the target is guaranteed or that you should buy.

Worked example: budget 100, box cost 15, fixed costs 10, confirmed quote 80 and a 5% target chance permit 6 boxes. Maximum spend is 100; the target chance is 26.49%, with a 73.51% chance of no target.

These models do not describe sealed no-repeat cases, POP NOW hints or changing probabilities. Unknown rates should stay unknown. Never copy a rate from another brand or release.